[7] See Francis Fukuyama. It can also enhance themoral readiness and the determination of troops to fight and win under any circumstances, including unfavourable battle conditions (for example, in the absence of air superiority or sustained logistics). Sociologist Steven Pinker has demonstrated that in fact violence has been reducing over the millenia. Note that preparation is NOT the same as Shannon Brandao on LinkedIn: U.S., UK and Australia carry out China-focused air drills A superior force could, by definition, prevail in any circumstances, but flying combat aircraft into these company airfields is sensational nonsense, he said. Jacqui Lambie warns that a Chinese invasion of Australia is a frightening possibility. I just wonder why the author thinks that Americas debt would be a protective factor in preventing a conflict with China. I do not see China repeating the British industrial revolution or the colonial pretensions that followed it. Who should take the blame for the current dismal outlook. Thats the bizarre claim used in a political advert from the United Australia Party. Agree with all comments . Have seen the legal document but forget where to locate it. Finally, the question of possibly fielding long-range interceptors under AIR 6500 Phase 2 as the future component of the Joint Integrated Air and Missile Defence (JIAMD) capability could be brought forward. "China need not attempt to invade Australia to subdue it; it may only need to establish a blockade which, with the world's largest coast guard, 10,000-tonne "maritime safety" vessels, and . Tensions between China and Australia may escalate further, diplomatic observers have warned, after the Australian defence minister said conflict with Beijing over Taiwan should not be discounted . And moreover, for the US Australia would not be the only game in town. Reflecting on this statement, a significant part of the reason the US lost the Vietnam War is that it was not the only game in town[13] as it was beset with domestic civil strife, had ongoing issues with the Soviet Union-Cuba alliance, and had European Cold War commitments as well as the space race. An Australia-China conflict will also adhere to the not the only game in town principle for the US and for Australians to believe that the US will see a conflict in the A-P region as important enough to warrant an immediate response is simply wrong. All of these instances have had the enduring effect of proving Western liberal-democracy is the most venerable and robust of all governments and governance. The island of about 25 million people, backed by the US and Japan, broke away from the mainland in 1949 when the losers of its civil war fled Mao Zedong's brutal communist regime. China is expanding in the same way Britain did during the IR and has resulted in it being keen to stamp its authority on the A-P region and what is important to Australia is that the trajectory of China has had two specific outcomes: China is becoming a military and economic juggernaut and had established the A-P as its epicentre; and this has resulted in the panicking of the US. Too many moving targets to make any sure fire predictions. Perhaps of equal importance in the next decade America will have declined to the point of being non-interventionist, at least in the eyes of the PRC. China's ambassador to Australia says Canberra should be wary of its relationship with Japan, reminding them that Japanese troops attacked Australia during World War II and could do the same again. Long March Out of China. The Australian, Melbourne: Murdoch Media, 19 August, 2014, 9. Countries like Australia need to be careful how they take sides especially with the appalling record of intervention by the US. AAP/AP/Ritchie B. Tongo. Among them are the following (but not necessarily in this exact order): The ADF is a highly trained and combat experienced battle force, which continuously invests in acquiring advanced military capabilities that enable it to operate across all current and emerging battle domains. THE world's superpowers will be thrown into chaos, the US will loosen its grip on global power and the war on IS will end by 2020. Returning to the initial centrepiece of Lambies argument and notion of whether Australia is in danger of being invaded in the traditional sense of the term. But is it? Great that you are back, lord, Did you not remember: What a low life greedy bloody effing wanker! [10] Angus Madisson. September 16, 2022 - 1:07AM China could potentially invade Taiwan in the next decade and Australia could be come a key target in the conflict that would follow. has pretty much incorporated ALL of the globe in reference, and at times seems to be just all over the place. The question is, how much of this time Australian defence planners have factored in, and whether the question of replenishment depends largely on uninterrupted overseas supply or a mixed solution involving domestic sustainment capacity. Whoops that cant be right. The ADF should be readying itself for a conflict with a major military power. The power generation and water desalination plant, together with the bunker fuel capacity, provide the necessary logistics to provide a large ground force equipped with heavy equipment, he adds. Gosh and golly. I worry far less about invasion from China that I do about our impending loss of sovereignty caused by the ongoing corporatisation of the world. I agree wholeheartedly Trevor, though I cant see things changing unless Australia disengages from the US and makes its own waywe will be drawn into a conflict at the behest of the US, if only to test Chinas repose and manoeuvrings. This guides the question of the optimal future force size, and the subsequent commitment to defence spending, as highlighted by Senator Jim Molan. Australia's forces are dwarfed by China's People's Liberation Army Credit: AFP. We also may change the frequency you receive our emails from us in order to keep you up to date and give you the best relevant information possible. The US would expect Australia to contribute air and naval forces such as warships HMAS Hobart and HMAS Stalwart, seen here with Japanese and US in the South China Sea last year. [3] http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-06-26/an-new-chinese-map-gives-greater-play-to-south-china-sea-claims/5550914 Australia Network News, 26 June, 2014. One upshot of her comment/s is that the military rise of China is now out in the public sphere and the massive impact this will have on Australia is finally beyond the hallways of the Department of Defence in Canberra. The largest ever Australian warship sunk in battle, HMAS . November 9, 2021, 6:22 AM. The way in which this has happened includes both military and political realms: the forcing of democracy on Japan at the end of World War Two (WWII) by the US and Allied powers; winning the Korean War by United Nations forces; and the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1989. Hence, China will, like the Spanish, French, British and Americans before it, have to use extramural preponderance to get what it needs for its populace. Required fields are marked *, Attachment The maximum upload file size: 2 MB. Australia ignores this threat at its own peril. From this point it is obvious that if China were able to establish a greater military presence in Indonesia exercising control over Australia would be more able to be achieved although this would more likely be the strangulation of access to shipping- and air-traffic in the region, regardless of whether it is military or mercantile, as this tactic would essentially render Australia fiscally and militarily decapitated in the region. Based on history, a war is in the making. Also, America will be tormented with fiscal and political problems in the next two decades which will continue to render an already war-weary nation to be dubious about entering another war. China will be a vastly different case to what the West has previously encountered and then dominated, as it has adopted the Wests interests in being a regional as well as global controller and therefore the case of China is completely different than what has gone before in the power-stakes of the twentieth century. The environment may well pan out to be the greatest battle we have ever fought. Taiwanese . How did it satisfy the demands of its ever-growing middle-classes? Something went wrong, please try again later. Many already show undue influence in the manipulation of our media, government policy and directly transferring their costs and burden onto sovereign governments. Australia must be willing to invade the Solomon Islands and topple its government if that's what is necessary to stop a proposed security pact between China and the Pacific nation going ahead . [1] Jacqui Lambie refuses to apologise for warning of Chinese invasion. AAP/The Australian. It's a position intended to ensure Australia's voice is heard in US halls of power, policy making and strategic thought. 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Another potential problem that the ADF may face in this scenario is endurance, particularly if Australia is fighting alone. Finally, the PLA seriously lacks operational combat experience, including in managing expeditionary operations. It is not unreasonable to assume that from the Peoples Liberation Armys (PLA) strategic and operational planning perspectives Australia represents both a relatively easy and, paradoxically, a challenging target. In the process of the IRs momentum the British government had to meet ever greater demands from its populace. These past weeks have seen Clive Palmer MP berate the Peoples Republic of China (PRC) government and other (Chinese) that have had business dealings with him. As the middle-classes of China begin to demand their perceived and/or actual rights, the PRC government will have to succumb to their demands, if only for enhanced domestic stability. Similarly, the PLAs Airborne Corps lack air lift capacity for long distance air assault operations. Doing that will improve the security outlook here by a great measure. As other commentators have pointed out, economic invasion is far more likely than military action. In that effort, China "really got a bloody nose, it was not a very successful operation," director of the Asia program at the German Marshall Fund of the United States Bonnie Glaser said. Dr. Driver has presented a good report but I am not sure if she read it-maybe it is because her skills do not extend that far. Its how you play with your mind not weapons that matters. The Royal Australian Navy ship HMAS Parramatta. The point for Australians to understand is it is a WWII-based belief to assume that the US will come to Australias aid immediately, or as a follow-up to any Chinese show of force. A war . 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Despite its massive standing force, including noticeable improvements to its amphibious assault element, it is not fit to conduct a successful cross-strait amphibious invasion of nearby Taiwan (Chinas number one strategic and operational priority), let alone engage in a long distance strategic hypothetical such as an invasion of Australia. http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/jacqui-lambie-refuses-to-apologise-for-warning-of-chinese-invasion/story-fn59niix-1227038207396. Be afraid and whatever you do, support your government!!! And as we are such a heavily multi-cultural community, I dont think anyone notices anymore, whos who or where they came from, except maybe for their accents. In doing so it is important to differentiate an attack from an offensive strike. America, as a standalone country comprised at this time, 4.6% of the worlds population. Tensions between Australia and its biggest trading partner, China, drastically deteriorated last year when Prime Minister Scott Morrison called for an independent inquiry into the origins of. Overall, this has been successful as poverty has fallen from 26% in 2007 to 7% in 2012. I agree that corporatisation is our greatest threat and the problem is that only governments can protect us by way of regulation. A superior military air force could, in effect, control all of Western Australias resources in the Pilbara and the North West Shelf gas reserves.. More to the point could we one day become disillusioned with the US and form a stronger alliance with China, India, Brazil and Asia. Unless Westerners understand thick face black heart they will get nowhere in Asia. I find this piece troubling. To be sure, this is a step further than the fiscal invasion of the Chinese that was hinted at prior to the election of the Abbott government, which directly dealt with the number of Chinese investments in Australia especially with regard to landholdings/farming which was driven by the somewhat xenophobic Nationals under the guise and umbrella of who owns what in Australia. Free market squabbling aside, and the prejudices inherent within this argument about the marketplace, the issue that needs to be examined is whether there is a modicum of truth in what Lambie has stated. China has over 1 Billion people !!! Just $5 a month. The old Roman claim si vis pacem, para bellum if you want peace, prepare for war - is as relevant now as before, and is yet to be answered with confidence. Acknowledging the obvious generalizations that are present in the political deliberations and in the comments of Senator Lambie, there is a need to examine what is pushing the underlying tone of the debate, and then driving the discussion. As always you can unsubscribe at any time. Invasions by the Soviets into Chechnya, the United States of America (US) into Iraq, the North Atlantic Treaty Organisations (NATO) troops and their allies incursion into Afghanistan, the recent Israeli invasion into Gaza, and the Islamic State (a non-state actor) being successful in northern Iraq, all offer and reinforce a broad-based understanding of what invasions can actually accomplish and also offer an insight into why they are embarked upon. They just borrow from a world voracious for dollars. In accomplishing such occupations and political tenets, the West has been able to decree the way in which the world aside from the Russian Federation and China must operate. The question that can now be asked and the one that returns to the core of this article, is will this result in an invasion of Australia? The rhetoric of our warmongering PM and Foreign Minister put us in more danger of invasion from a variety of countries than the twittering of the PUP ratbags. Nations that acceded to British demands, either as a protectorate that was accorded all of the security and safety Britain could muster or, alternately, Britain used force. To be sure, the US essentially having been sidelined to that of an equal rather than a superior player in the next decade is already being put into place by China. Darwin is narrow-minded, provincial, over-priced, and un-competitive! Australia could not repel military aircraft if they landed from carriers offshore, he goes on to say. But the US has strategic energy interests in Australia so perhaps they will not abandon us or sell us out with their own self interests are at stake. AN AIRSTRIP in the arid Australian desert could be used for a full-scale invasion from China. Sign up to the Daily Star's newsletter. Sink all, People seem to overlook the changes made by Whitlam that, As we all know policies continue to impact for some, We have an AUKUS partner who is capable of blowing, I believe Jenny doesn't want him hanging around the house, GL, Spudito and the Caviar Club down to their last, "Isnt sticking together what assimilation is all about ?" Worst of all these corportions they answer to nobody and exhibit extreme sociopathic traits, all intent purely upon accumulating greater and greater wealth at the cost of the environment, individuals and societies. Enter your email address to subscribe to The AIMN and receive notifications of new posts by email. Mbius EckoSeptember 9, 2014 at 8:17 pm Theres the very real chance Russia will turn to China, and China wont hesitate to step into the breech. From what I have heard from non-Anglo News Sources, this may already be the case. I am so afraid I think Ill go and hide under the bed till Dear Leader saves me from the big bad Government. What Australia can do to better improve its immediate security and harmony is withdraw from the UN Refugee Accords, and accept only those who meet strict selection, suitability and civility criteria. It is pertinent to ask what will drive such an outcome. These aircraft would be out of fuel and would probably have exhausted their missiles and bombs, Dr Huisken said. The US, their nemesis in the Great Game, is diminished. As happened with Britain and the US the middle-classes of China will demand more from their government in particular more fiscal and military status in the world and Australia will be at the forefront of these ructions that both soft power and hard power bring. The World Economy. Offensive strike can be interpreted as a series of limited or larger scale prolonged long-distance kinetic and cyber offensive actions, conducted remotely. At any rate Australia is in trouble. You can upload: image, audio, video, document, spreadsheet, interactive, text, archive, code, other. Firstly, China has insufficient capacity to wage long distance assault operations. Time and again it has been demonstrated that invasion does not work. What is bound to happen in the near future however, is the A-P region will become increasingly contested, and the disputes will become protracted. Have a friend who was Ambassador to China and it would not take much to regain their respect. War and the arming for war is the defining rationale behind the (dominant) Western Economies. It led, Australian Alliance for Animals Media Release Fate of Koalas Hangs in Balance as, Ok, I had trouble with the punctuation for the title. The creation of the Sovereign Guided Weapons and Explosive Ordinance Enterprise is supposed to address some of these concerns. thank goodness Irvine is retiring before he starts some form of Hitler Youth thing to spy on their neighbours. Chinas dominance is that of being a global geo-political and geo-strategic actor and thus, current preponderance in the A-P is only the first step, and an even stronger global military presence will follow. In short, Senator Lambies outburst is largely accurate, premature perhaps, but based on British and American preponderance, accurate nevertheless. Or by navigating to the user icon in the top right. Your contribution to help with the running costs of this site will be gratefully accepted. Nevertheless, Britain still gained what it needed and the British people benefited the middle-class continued. Jacqui Lambie!! He's revealed the big dos and don'ts of getting fit, Ed Sheeran says he 'spiralled' as wife was diagnosed with tumour during pregnancy, The chart-topping music star has opened up about his mental health after his wife and childhood sweetheart Cherry was diagnosed with a tumour while pregnant with their second child, TRAIN CRASH HORROR: At least 36 dead and 72 injured as trains collide head-on sparking huge inferno, The crash in Greece has killed dozens, with many of the victims students traveling home from holiday, BREAKING: Twitter down for thousands of users unable to access social media giant, This is a breaking news story, the Daily Star News team will be updating this article with the latest information as soon as we receive it. The environment may well pan out to be careful how they take sides especially with the running of... The creation of the worlds population, 4.6 % of the worlds population jacqui Lambie that! 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