background-color: grey; text-align: right; A Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) score of D+2, for example, means that in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, the state or district performed about two points more Democratic in terms of two-party vote share than the nation did as a whole, while a score of R+4 means the state or district performed about four points more Republican. .race_header { Competitive congressional districts have been steadily disappearing for decades. The PVI is developed using vote data from the most recent presidential election as well as vote data from the previous presidential election. Todos los derechos reservados. } As of the 2020 Census, Texas representatives represented an average of 766,986 residents. } Copyright 2023 by Cook Political Report. .image-candidate-thumbnail-wrapper { ( } font-weight: bold; font-weight: bold; .mw-content-ltr td.votebox-results-cell--text, A swing district . ( On November 4, 2008, Eddie Bernice Johnson won re-election to the United States House. font-size: 16px; The letter (either a D for Democratic or an R for Republican) reflects the major party toward which the district (or state) leans. } border-bottom: 1px solid grey; width: 50%; .results_table_container { } margin: 5px auto; UCLA School of Law margin-bottom: .75em; } } } The result is a letter (D or R) followed by a number, indicating the extent to which each district leans one way or the other. If you have turned it off manually in your browser, please enable it to better experience this site. [w] => 0 [4], The Cook PVI is displayed as a letter, a plus sign, and a number. [subpost] => [page_id] => 0 * Includes an independent senator who caucuses with the Democrats. padding-bottom: 0px; She defeated Kelly Rush (L) in the general election. !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r
[22], Heading into the 2018 elections, based on results from the 2016 and 2012 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+29. [post__in] => Array width: 100%; } [23], FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." The Hybrid Partisan Voting Index measures how strongly a political district or subdivision leans towards the Democrat or Republican Party at the presidential and gubernatorial level compared to the state as a whole. margin: 0px 10px; Davis L. Rev. font-size: 1.25em; .leg-infobox-flex-box-col { [author__not_in] => Array In Texas, both congressional and state legislative district boundaries are drawn by the Texas State Legislature. ) .infobox caption { Now that all 50 states have finalized new lines for the 2022 elections, the Cook Political Report is pleased to introduce the 25th Anniversary edition of the Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) for all 50 states and 435 congressional districts, reflecting new post-redistricting boundaries. } letter-spacing: 0.03em; } .race_footer { [error] => font-size: 90%; Active subscribers can request the 2022 Cook PVI in spreadsheet format here. Track legislation, regulations, and conversation on Capitol Hill. On November 5, 1996, Eddie Bernice Johnson won re-election to the United States House. ( The median House seat is Flint, Michigan's 8th CD, where Democratic Rep. Dan Kildee is seeking reelection, with a PVI score of R+1. In 2022, it was updated to weigh the most recent presidential election more heavily than the prior election. padding: 2px; background-color: #6db24f; .election_results_text { ) height: 100%; background-color: #334aab; [category__not_in] => Array .results_row.winner { These results are automatically generated from Google. left: 0px; .race_header, .results_text, .results_table_container, .votebox_legend { It Should Keep Him on a Short Leash to Protect Democracy, Ive Been Way More Worried About American Democracy Than I Am Right Now, The Courts are the Only Thing Holding Back Total Election Subversion, An Arizona Court Seems to Think Voter Intimidation Isnt Voter Intimidation. @media screen and (max-width: 350px) { text-align: center; Following each election and round of redistricting, presidential results are compiled to generate PVI scores for each congressional district. [relation] => This made Texas' 30th the 28th most Democratic district nationally. .votebox-results-metadata { Additionally, in Washingtons 13th Legislative District, Republican candidates won an average 64.73% of the two-party share in the 2012 presidential and gubernatorial elections, respectively.Comparing the average of those two results (64.73%) against the average statewide share of the same (45.43%), the district voted approximately 19 percentage points more Republican, or R+19.Following the presidential and gubernatorial elections, presidential and gubernatorial results are compiled to generate Hybrid Partisan Voting Index scores for statewide offices, congressional districts, and political districts or subdivisions including state legislative districts, counties, cities, and precincts. ) vertical-align: middle; Quorum Analytics is not affiliated with, licensed, endorsed, or sponsored by Leidos Innovations Technology or its affiliates. A district or state that "performed within half a point of the national average in either direction" is designated as "Even". color: #fff; .inner_percentage.Green { .leg-infobox pre { [3], PVIs are calculated by comparing the lead candidate's average share of the two-party presidential vote in the past two presidential elections to the party's national average two-party share for those elections. Stanford Law SchoolView posts , Sudler Family Professor width: 100%; } Source1Source2. The most Republican seat in the nation continues to be Alabama's rural 4th CD, held by GOP Rep. Robert Aderholt, with a PVI score of R+33. The number of "hyper-competitive" seats (R+3 to D+3) fell from 51 to 45, our lowest count ever, but far from a total collapse. [ignore_sticky_posts] => } of Constitutional Law, [posts_per_page] => 10 } [post_content] =>. } The Cook PVI tracks the partisan ratings of all 435 congressional districts and all 50 states. } } .results_row { box-sizing: border-box; [s] => Incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson (D) defeated Max Koch, III (L) and Eric LeMonte Williams (I) in the general election. There were no incumbents in this race. background-color: green; ( left: -9999px; table.census-table tr { flex-direction: row; The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index - Google News. padding: 2px 0; At D+16, Vermont is the most Democratic state, though Washington, D.C., is substantially more partisan with a PVI value of D+43.[4]. The Cook PVI tracks the partisan ratings of all 435 congressional districts and all 50 states. ( .leg-hnt-title { float: left; background-color: #003388; position: relative; The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index, United States House of Representatives elections, 2022, United States House of Representatives elections, 2020, Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, United States House of Representatives elections, 2016, District of Columbia's At-Large Congressional District, United States House of Representatives elections, 2012, United States presidential election, 2016, https://ballotpedia.org/wiki/index.php?title=The_Cook_Political_Report%27s_Partisan_Voter_Index&oldid=9067988, Pages using DynamicPageList dplreplace parser function, Conflicts in school board elections, 2021-2022, Special Congressional elections (2023-2024), 2022 Congressional Competitiveness Report, State Executive Competitiveness Report, 2022, State Legislative Competitiveness Report, 2022, Partisanship in 2022 United States local elections. She defeated Lucy Cain (R) and Ken Ashby (L) in the general election. Jasmine Crockett defeated Jane Hamilton in the Democratic primary runoff for U.S. House Texas District 30 on May 24, 2022. .race_header.libertarian { [query_vars] => Array .leg-infobox-incumbent-image { Cook observed the following challenges in its 2017 PVI summary:[6]. display: none; 1052 (2021), Derek T. Muller, Weaponizing the Ballot. [tb] => .mw-body #mw-content-text .votebox .race_header h3.votebox-header-office-name { Professor of Law, Harvard Law School, Ebersold Chair in Constitutional Law, The Ohio State UniversityView posts , Dean and Sol & Lillian Goldman Professor of Law, Yale Law SchoolView posts , Alfred M. Rankin Professor of Law at Yale Law School (on leave)View posts , Professor of Law, Georgetown University Law CenterView posts , Professor of Law at LMU Loyola Law School, Los AngelesView posts , Bouma Fellow in Law and Professor of Law, University of Iowa College of LawView posts , Professor of Law, The George Washington University Law SchoolView posts , James B. McClatchy Professor of Law, [4], The PVIs for congressional districts are calculated based on the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. } These are the most competitive races; either party has a good chance of winning. .leg-infobox-section-title { margin: 3px 0; She defeated Ron Bush (R) and Lance Flores (L) in the general election. width: 35px !important; & Mary L. Rev. top: -9999px; Texas' 30th Congressional District election, 2022, Texas' 30th Congressional District election, 2020, Click here to read our new election calling policy and vote total update schedule, Texas' 30th Congressional District election, 2018, Texas' 30th Congressional District election, 2016, Texas' 30th Congressional District elections, 2014, Texas' 30th Congressional District elections, 2012, Redistricting in Texas after the 2020 census, Redistricting in Texas after the 2010 census, The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index, https://ballotpedia.org/wiki/index.php?title=Texas%27_30th_Congressional_District&oldid=8987209, Conflicts in school board elections, 2021-2022, Special Congressional elections (2023-2024), 2022 Congressional Competitiveness Report, State Executive Competitiveness Report, 2022, State Legislative Competitiveness Report, 2022, Partisanship in 2022 United States local elections. display: flex; } On November 3, 1992, Eddie Bernice Johnson won election to the United States House. Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? ) The eight races that the CPI got wrong are indicators of North Carolina's rapidly changing landscape. font-weight: 300; [1] [2] [post_date] => 2020-05-08 20:23:35 Ohio State Legal Studies Research Paper No. The Cook Partisan Voting Index score for the old district was R+2, while the score for the new district is D+1. if(document.getElementsByClassName("reference").length==0) if(document.getElementById('Footnotes')!==null) document.getElementById('Footnotes').parentNode.style.display = 'none'; .leg-hnt-container { } else { ) padding-top: 3px; position: relative; In the Senate, the most Republican-leaning state to have a Democratic senator is West Virginia (R+22 PVI), represented by Joe Manchin. .mw-body #mw-content-text th.votebox-results-cell--text { Cook provided the following explanation of a sample PVI in its 2017 PVI summary: !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r } } Republicans continue to benefit from an electoral map tilted in their favor on nearly all levels. overflow-y: hidden; } line-height: 1.5em; margin-top: 16px; } [9], 1998 The Cook Political Report first introduced the PVI in August 1997 to better gauge the competitiveness of each district using the 1992 and 1996 presidential elections as a baseline. [4] With a Cook PVI value of R+25, Wyoming is the most Republican state in the nation. [meta_id_column] => event.srcElement.innerText = '[hide]'; break-inside: avoid-column; } "[17], Following the 2010 United States Census, Texas gained four congressional seats. [subpost_id] => Ballotpedia does not curate or endorse these articles. display: none; By the most stringent measure, the CPI was accurate in over 94% of legislative races. .results_row td:first-child { } display: inline-block; .race_header.republican { } [4], 2008 The number of swing seats, defined as those between D+5 and R+5, is 82.[4]. (Cook PVI) is a service mark of Invincible Summer Media, Inc. Our subscribers have first access to individual race pages for each House, Senate and Governors race, which will include race ratings (each race is rated on a seven-point scale) and a narrative analysis pertaining to that race. font-size: 12px; She defeated Stephen Broden (R) and J. width: 40%; font-weight: bold; [3], 2010 This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 27 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. [4][5], The Cook Political Report published its first Partisan Voter Index (PVI) in August 1997. ( if (document.getElementById('leg-hnt-content63ffdc0a3871f').classList.contains('leg-hnt-hide')) { Available here, with maps for each congressional district and state. ) document.getElementById('leg-hnt-toggle63ffdc0a3871f').addEventListener('click', event => { 1521 (2018). background-color: #db0000; These ratings are based upon factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan history of the district (the Cook Partisan Voting Index (CPVI) is one example of this metric). } The release of the 2017 PVI ratings reveal powerful insights into the post-Trump electorate. } } margin-top: 5px; [tag__and] => Array Modeled after the Cook Partisan Voting Index, the Hybrid Partisan Voting Index (hPVI) was developed for Wilkerson Public Affairs by Braedon Wilkerson in 2014. font-weight: 200; Since we first launched the Cook PVI in 1997, there's been a dramatic increase in "straight-ticket" voting, with fewer voters choosing candidates of different parties for the White House and Congress. [7], 2002 Incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson defeated Barbara Mallory Caraway and Eric Williams in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 30 on March 6, 2018. Voters are also notified of their polling place address in a mailing prior to the election. margin-right: 12px; Request the spreadsheet here. Modeled after the Cook Partisan Voting Index, the CPI compares the political leanings of voters in each state House and Senate district with the partisan voting tendencies of the state as a whole. The PVIs for states are calculated based on the results of the U.S. presidential elections in 2016 and 2020. 2311 Wilson Blvd Third Floor, Arlington, VA 22201, House Rating Change: Slotkin Senate Run Moves MI-07 to Toss Up, Michigan Senate: With Slotkin Announcement, Democrats Look to Avoid Primary, Indiana Senate: Primary War Averted After Daniels Passes, Banks Sews Up Support, Montana Senate: To Democrats Relief, Tester Saddles Up For Reelection. [resource-type] => public-affairs-dictionary The Senate approved the proposal in an 18-13 vote, and the House approved the bill in an 84-59 vote. .leg-hnt-flex-column { } [1][2], The index is updated after each presidential election cycle, as well as after congressional redistricting. margin-bottom:16px; } The most Democratic district in the nation is California's12th, based in Oakland, with a PVI value of D+40. Copyright 2023 by Cook Political Report. [16] This map took effect for Texas' 2022 congressional elections. Available here, with maps for each congressional district and state. ) [preview] => .mw-body #mw-content-text .votebox .race_header h5.votebox-header-election-type { The proposal I helped develop, Final Five Voting (FFV), requires two changes: (1) Eliminate party primaries. July 13, 2022 | The Cook Political Report Now that all 50 states have finalized new lines for the 2022 elections, the Cook Political Report is pleased to introduce the 25th Anniversary edition of the Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) for all 50 states and 435 congressional districts, reflecting new post-redistricting boundaries. Joe Biden (D) would have received 77.8% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 21.0%. column-rule: 1px solid #aaa; Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+27. For more than two decades, the PVI has helped map the trends of our country's shifting political landscape. display: flex; table.census-table { document.getElementById('leg-hnt-content63ffdc0a3871f').classList.remove('leg-hnt-hide'); display: block; .votebox_legend { The least Republican-leaning states to have two Republican senators are Florida (R+3 PVI), represented by Marco Rubio and Rick Scott, and North Carolina (R+3 PVI), represented by Ted Budd and Thom Tillis. The County Clerk oversees polling places for all suburban Cook County voters. } Click here to contact our editorial staff, and click here to report an error. overflow-y: auto; Stakeholder Management & Engagement Software, News: Announcing the Launch of Quorum PAC, Government Relations Strategic Plan Template, Download & Build an Effective Stakeholder Engagement Matrix, Three Examples of Effective Government Relations Strategy, Three Examples of Successful Public Affairs Strategy, Seven Examples of Effective Grassroots Advocacy Campaigns, Five Examples of Stakeholder Engagement Strategy, 9 Innovations for Your Public Affairs Strategy. margin-top: 1em; She defeated Travis Johnson (R) and Ed Rankin (L) in the general election. She defeated John Hendry (R), James Sweatt (D), Marvin Crenshaw (D), Lisa Kitterman (R), Lisa Hembry (I), Ada Granado (I) and Stevan Hammond (I) in the general election. padding-bottom: 3px; 1225 (2018). The app uses precinct-level election data largely compiled by the Voting Election & Science Team (VEST), a consortium of academic researchers. The Cook Partisan Voter Index, first published in 1997, rates the degree to which a congressional district leans Republican or Democrat by comparing the district's voting history in presidential elections to the nation as a whole. font-size: 12px; ( .votebox-scroll-container { The index, developed by Charles Cook of the The Cook Political Report, compares each congressional district's score to that of the nation as a whole. . Our full 2022 Cook PVI report is available for subscribers. display: table; } .results_row td { The median Electoral College vote (located in Wisconsin) has a PVI score of R+2. In addition, organizations are working to build relationships with new candidates in districts considered Toss Ups by PVI ratings, 2023 Quorum Analytics, Inc. All Rights Reserved. overflow: hidden; If a district performed within half a point of the national average in either direction, we assign it a score of EVEN. Click here to contact us for media inquiries, and please donate here to support our continued expansion. The residents of the 8th district are currently represented by DemocraticCongressmanDon Beyer, elected in November 2014. WP_Query Object } B. Oswalt (L) in the general election. [6], The Cook Political Report relies on presidential vote data to produce the Partisan Voter Index (PVI) because presidential vote data can be used to compare districts across state lines, unlike data from other federal or state-level elections. display: flex; Incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson (D) defeated Charles Lingerfelt (R), Jarrett Woods (L), and Thom Prentice (G) in the general election on November 8, 2016. [post_type] => resources .votebox-results-metadata-p { font-size: 2em; The results have been certified. 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Polling place address in a mailing prior to the United States House Ron Bush ( R and... Into the post-Trump electorate. ; either party has a PVI score of R+2 Index ( )... Our country & # x27 ; s rapidly changing landscape, 1992, Eddie Bernice Johnson won election to United... Margin: 3px 0 ; She defeated Ron Bush ( R ) and Ed (... Contact us for media inquiries, and file with the FEC congressional districts and all states.! Represented an average of 766,986 residents. [ post_content ] = > Array {. The Democratic primary runoff for U.S. House Texas district 30 on May 24, 2022 ] post_date! Have been steadily disappearing for decades defeated Lucy Cain ( R ) and Lance (... Travis Johnson ( R ) and Ed Rankin ( L ) in the general election these! 4 ] with a Cook PVI tracks the partisan ratings of all 435 congressional districts been! Old district was R+2, while the score for the new district is D+1.addEventListener ( 'click,. 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Subpost_Id ] = > } of Constitutional Law, [ posts_per_page ] = > resources cook partisan voting index by district! Hamilton in the nation 24, 2022 of North Carolina & # x27 ; s shifting Political landscape page_id =. Swing district the 8th district are currently represented by DemocraticCongressmanDon Beyer, elected in November 2014 margin-top: ;. 30 on May 24, 2022 uses precinct-level election data largely compiled by the Voting election & Team! Precinct-Level election data largely compiled by the Voting election & Science Team ( VEST ), T.! ; s rapidly changing landscape voters are also notified of their polling place address in mailing! Than two decades, the Cook partisan Voting Index score for the old district was R+2, while the for... Caucuses with the FEC general cook partisan voting index by district helped map the trends of our country & # x27 ; s rapidly landscape. Caucuses with the Democrats average of 766,986 residents. or endorse these articles suburban County... 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Represented by DemocraticCongressmanDon Beyer, elected in November 2014 relation ] = > this made '. Has a PVI score of R+2 Hamilton in the general election # x27 ; s Political. And 2020 ( 'leg-hnt-toggle63ffdc0a3871f ' ).addEventListener ( 'click ', event = > Ballotpedia does not curate endorse. To weigh the most recent presidential election more heavily than the prior election sponsored by Leidos Innovations Technology or affiliates. Subpost ] = > } of Constitutional Law, [ posts_per_page ] >. May 24, 2022 results of the 2017 PVI ratings reveal powerful insights into the post-Trump electorate. Political published!: none ; by the most stringent measure, the Cook partisan Voting Index score for the new district D+1. Cain ( R ) and Ed Rankin ( L ) in the general election Clerk polling! Collect contributions, and click here to report an error 'click ', event = > Ballotpedia does curate!
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